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Experts: International tourism could plunge by up to 80% this year

The number of international tourists could drop by 60 to 80 percent in 2020 under the influence of the coronavirus pandemic. This was announced today by the United Nations World Tourism Organisation (UNTO), quoted by France Press. At the end of March, it was betting on a drop in the range of 20 to 30 percent.
This is the most serious crisis international tourism has faced since the start of surveys in 1950, the UN agency with headquarters in Madrid stressed in a communique.

Visits by foreign tourists have already slipped 22 percent in the first quarter on an annual basis and even by 57 percent in March following the introduction of quarantine in a number of countries, the WTO specified.

The sector lost $80 billion (€74 billion) in the first three months of the year. In total, financial damage could go from $910 billion (€843 billion) to $1.2 trillion (€1.11 trillion), BTA added.

The impact will be felt to varying degrees is individual regions around the world, with Asia and the Pacific region expected to recover first, according to the organization.

These new forecasts are based on three exit scenarios: opening borders and lifting travel restrictions in early July (down from 58 percent on arrivals), early September (-70 percent) and early December (-78 percent).

SOT fears that 100 to 120 million direct tourism jobs are under threaten

The most positive are the outlook for Africa and the Middle East, for which most experts predict a recovery in 2020 and the most pessimistic are the forecasts for the Americas.

For Europe and Asia, the prospects are mixed, with half of experts expecting a recovery this year.

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